Anyone can explain the market after it moves. The test is whether the number was on the page before the close. Ours is, every trading day, with the date on it — and when we get it wrong we leave the wrong page exactly where it was.
Record since 30 August 2026. Graded on the New York session close, never intraday. How grading works →
We are not a news site and not an advisory firm. We are a family goldsmith in Suez, trading on the same street since 1986, now in its second generation. We read the market every morning for one very practical reason: we have to price our own stock before we open the doors.
At some point we decided that keeping that reading to ourselves made no sense. So we started publishing it — with probabilities attached, with the date attached, and with a verdict published the following morning. The whole archive is public, misses included.
“We publish the forecast before it happens, and hold ourselves to account for it afterwards.” — the rule the whole section runs on
Our weighted scenarios for the week ending Friday 25 September, published before the week opened — including the condition that would prove us wrong.
Read the forecast →Every call, how it was graded, what the denominator is, and the one forecast we got wrong on 10 September.
See the method →Our own counter prices for 24K, 22K, 21K and 18K, updated through the trading day.
See today’s prices →Kitco’s weekly survey published on 18 September returned a reading we had not seen before in this cycle: 16 of 16 Wall Street analysts bullish, none bearish.
We went the other way. Not because we think gold is heading down — we do not — but because a completed consensus usually means the buyers are already in. Our published scenarios for the week were 45% range-bound, 35% continued rally, 20% pullback, written before the week opened, with a falsification condition attached in the same paragraph.
It settles on the Friday 25 September close, and the verdict goes up on the Saturday morning — whichever way it lands.
Gold in Egypt is sold by karat, by the gram, with a separate making charge and a hallmark stamped into the piece. If you are visiting or living here and none of that is familiar, we wrote a plain guide to what you are actually paying for and what to check before you hand over money — including at shops that are not ours.
Sedky Street, Midan El-Arbaeen, Suez. Open daily from 11:30 AM to 10:00 PM. Ask for Dr. Mohammed or Hani — we are happy to walk you through the pricing sheet whether or not you buy anything.